Crowd-Based Techniques to Improve Intelligence Analysis

Sridhar Srinivasan EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The essential nature of the homeland security enterprise involves making consequential and complex policy decisions under uncertainty. The inputs policy makers use in making these decisions are facts, analyses, and predictions (which can fit a definition of intelligence), all of which are subject to significant uncertainty. Reduction in the uncertainty associated

Indications and Warning Methodology for Strategic Intelligence

Susann Kimmelman EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Today’s U.S. intelligence community lacks the human-centric intelligence needed to develop a forward-looking intelligence estimate. A better understanding of homeland security challenges can come from modern indicators that inform intelligence community practitioners about emerging actors and changing situations. These new indicators must include factors about the human condition, and necessitate an

Comparative Analysis of Fusion Center Interaction to Fire & EMS Agencies

Scott Goldstein EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Across the United States nearly two million fire and EMS personnel provide emergency services to the just over 322 million residents.[1] Their role in our communities has expanded to include response to chemical, biological, and radiological attacks/threats, as well as attacks inspired by radical Islamic jihadism. This expansion of duties is

The Crime-Terrorism Nexus, and the Threat to U.S. Homeland Security

Mike Schofield EXECUTIVE SUMMARY   Since 2001, violent sub-national groups with disparate ideologies and motivations have been working together to further their objectives. They are collaborating, sharing each other’s tactics, and learning from one another’s successes and failures. To comprehend fully the complex nature of the nexus or convergence of transnational criminal organizations (TCOs) and

Unauthorized Disclosure: Can Behavioral Indicators Help Predict Who Will Commit Unauthorized Disclosure of Classified National Security Information

Karen Elizabeth Sims EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Federal government security-cleared personnel have been disclosing federal government classified national security information, whether to a foreign government or the United States media, at an increasing rate since the 1980s. Can common personal or psychological characteristics or motivations be identified from historical cases that could indicate the likelihood of a